- My fears are realized, the NDP increase splits enough previously Liberal seats to give Harper a majority. Certainly Harper would have no interest in pursuing electoral reform, but the prospect of millions of Canadians giving the NDP a chance and seeing it a Conservative majority government as the result would create a lot of anger and lead to a groundswell for voting system reform.
- The NDP win enough seats to deny Harper a majority. Whether they end up as official opposition, remain behind the Liberals in seat count or actually win government in their own right, having a lot more NDP MPs in a minority parliament, with a very likely NDP/Liberal coalition government forming would present the NDP a historic chance to reform the electoral system, as they have long supported proportional representation.
Also given the defeats of voting system referenda in BC, Ontario and now probably the UK, it would be well to study the politics of those to avoid the same mistakes.